Dating back to the 2016 season, the Patriots are very good in December, going 8-1 against the spread in that month. The Vikings are 2-2-1 on the road this season, with losses at Chicago and Los. NFL Week 11 Odds: Point Spreads, Betting Lines For All 14 Football Games. San Fran is set to host the Arizona Cardinals as 10.5-point betting favorites, while the Patriots travel to. But with an ailing Tom Brady at the helm for New England, NFL odds-makers are not giving the Pats so much as a touchdown margin in the point spread. Who: Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots. When: Sunday, December 2nd 4:25 PM EST. Archived Futures Odds; Live Super Bowl Odds; Live Game Odds; NBA. Archived Futures Odds; Live NBA Finals Odds. NFL Playoff Point Spreads from the Super Bowl Era Super Bowl Point Spreads. New England Patriots (2)-3.5: Los Angeles Chargers (5) 47.5: New England Patriots.
Games of this magnitude are why the Vikings signed quarterback Kirk Cousins to a 3-year $84 million dollar contract. With the team currently scrapping for a Wild Card spot in the playoffs, a road game against the Brady Bunch will certainly test the fortitude of their expensive quarterback.
Cousins has been on target, completing a 3rd ranked 71.1% of his passes, but it has not resulted in the high-flying offense Viking fans anticipated. The Purple and Gold are in the middle of the pack ranking 16th with 24.1 points per game.
But with an ailing Tom Brady at the helm for New England, NFL odds-makers are not giving the Pats so much as a touchdown margin in the point spread.
Who: Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots
When: Sunday, December 2nd 4:25 PM EST
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Lines: Minnesota (+5) vs New England (-5) / O/U Total: (48.5)
The disappearance of the running game has done Cousins no favors, as leading rusher Latavius Murray has 455 yards on the year. Mr. Reliable Adam Thielen, is having a Pro Bowl year and looks to have a field day against the shaky secondary of the Patriots.
Thielen leads the league with 93 receptions and is 2nd with 1,138 yards.
The Viking defense will take the fight directly to Brady as they rank 5th in the league, allowing just 221 passing yards per game and tied for 3rd out of 32 teams with 36 sacks on the year.
Is New England vulnerable to the upset at home? The Patriots have not displayed the same level of dominance this season that NFL fans are accustomed to in the Brady-Belichick era. Yet in spite of all, Patriots are within perfect striking distance of precious home-field advantage yet again.
Brady might be having a statistical off-year with only 19 touchdowns on the season, but the veteran always seems to have his squad in position to win games. The future Hall of Fame QB will gain extra help in the backfield in time for the showdown with the Vikings, as Rex Burkhead has been activated off injured reserve from his Week 3 neck injury.
The signal-caller is still a master of utilizing his running backs in the passing game, and running back James White leads the team with 67 catches for 567 yards and 6 touchdowns.
On the defensive side, the Patriots’ secondary will have to step up its game as they face the deadly Thielen-Diggs duo of the Vikings. The Patriots are 25th in the league in pass defense, allowing 270 passing yards per game.
Is Brady finally healthy heading into the matchup with the Vikings? CBS Boston has more:
At this point in the season, no one is really healthy in the NFL. That includes Tom Brady, who went in great depth about his health during his Monday evening interview with Westwood One’s Jim Gray. Brady was on New England’s injury report last week, limited by a knee issue on both Wednesday and Thursday. He was then absent from Friday’s practice with the knee and an illness, listed as questionable for the team’s Week 12 matchup with the New York Jets. He was under center on Sunday but the Pats QB did appear to be off at times during New England’s 27-13 victory. He still finished the game 20-for-31 for 283 yards, two touchdowns, no picks, and his 115.4 rating was the best he’s had all season. Brady says he’s kicked the flu that has been making its way through the New England locker room, and his balky knee is feeling better as the Patriots prepare for their Week 13 clash with the Vikings.
“I’m certainly doing better this week,” said Brady. “We had the game against Tennessee where I got a little nicked up and then had the bye week and was hoping to have a full week of practice, and it just didn’t allow for it. I think a lot of NFL players are nursing things at this point. I’m nursing a couple of little things. I’m feeling a lot better. A little flu has been going around, but I’m feeling a lot better and hopefully I really turned the corner with my knee this week.” Brady has never let minor injuries keep him from taking the playing field on Sundays, and it’s not something he’s going to let that start now. He believes the knee will get better even if he does play the final five games of the regular season.
An aging QB must pick his spots to open up an offense. While the old pro is doing a fine job of protecting his body, the conservative tactics may be holding the Pats back from covering more often.
If the Patriots are going to suffer a truly bad match-up at home at any point this season, this is probably the week. I’m liking the Vikes to pass the ball well enough in the 1st half to set up a ball-control offense in the 2nd half, as the Patriots are not leaps and bounds better vs the run than they are against the pass.
Take the Vikings as this week’s upset-special pick, on the moneyline or to cover (+5).
© Provided by CBS SportsThe Patriots and Ravens will put a bow on Sunday's action in the NFL when they kick off for Sunday Night Football in Foxborough. New England comes into this game at just 3-5 on the year and just narrowly defeating the winless New York Jets on Monday Night Football to wrap up Week 9. On the other side of the field, the Ravens stand at 6-2 on the season and are nipping at the heels of the 8-0 Steelers in the AFC North. Lamar Jackson's club is coming off an impressive Week 9 win over the Colts, where the defense held Indy to just 10 points and even scored a touchdown off a fumble recovery.
Both of these teams have powerful running games that will be on full display here on Sunday night and we'll be providing you with all the betting angles that this head-to-head has to offer. Along with the spread and total for this matchup, we'll also give you some of our favorite player props and show you how the lines have moved throughout the week. All NFL odds via William Hill Sportsbook.
Date: Sunday, Nov. 15 Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, MA) TV: NBC Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow:CBS Sports App
The line for this game has been pretty consistent after opening at Ravens -7. It briefly dipped below the touchdown marker at Ravens -6.5 and bumped as high at Ravens -7.5 throughout the week, but has largely settled at seven points with Baltimore being the road favorites. This is the first time since 2014 where the Patriots have been a home underdog by any measure and the first as a touchdown underdog since 2001. That's with good reason in 2020 as Bill Belichick's club has struggled on both sides of the ball and will likely be their undoing in primetime, where they are 0-3 ATS this season.
While Cam Newton showed flashes as a passer last week, you do have the factor in the competition. The Jets rank as the second-worst pass defense in the NFL, according to Football Outsiders' metrics. Now, they'll be facing a Ravens secondary that ranks seventh-best in the league in that same area. Of course, New England's offense is largely dictated by how well they can run the football, which plays right into Baltimore's hands as they are the top-ranked run defense heading into Week 10. Lamar Jackson, meanwhile, is 11-3-1 ATS on the road in his career and should give the Patriots defense fits both on the ground and through the air.
Projectedscore: Baltimore 24, New England 10
This total has increased as the week went on, originally opening at 41 and rising to 43.5 by Friday. The Under has a 9-7 record between these two clubs this season and has hit in four of New England's past five home contests.
In games Cam Newton has started this season, the Patriots are averaging a little under 22 points per game. While the highs include, 30 points against the Jets last week, 36 points against the Raiders in Week 3, and 30 points against the Seahawks in Week 2, Baltimore's defense comes into this game allowing a league-low 17.8 points per contest. This will be a much tougher task for Josh McDaniels' offense and could very well keep them under that 22-point average with Newton under center. With both clubs having an affinity for running the football, this should be a fast-moving game that limits opportunities to string along a lot of drives, thus creating a short ceiling for scoring.
Projected total: 34
O/U 17.5 completions
O/U 27.5 pass attempts
O/U 200.5 passing yards
O/U 1.5 passing TDs (Over +130)
O/U 0.5 interceptions (Over +110)
O/U 51.5 rushing yards
Jackson has thrown for multiple touchdowns four times this season and will now face a Patriots secondary that just allowed Joe Flacco to throw for three scores on Monday Night Football. New England getting Stephon Gilmore back will be a big boost to the secondary, but Jackson should still be able to have his way with this unit, making the Over at +130 great value. Jackson has also hit the Over on this rushing total in three straight games heading into Sunday.
O/U 18.5 completions
O/U 29.5 pass attempts
O/U 196.5 passing yards
O/U 1.5 passing TDs (Over +200)
O/U 0.5 interceptions (Over -130)
O/U 43.5 rushing yards
Newton's season average for passing yards is over his current total for Week 10, but he's set to face a Ravens secondary that is allowing just 6.4 yards per attempt, second-lowest in the NFL. Baltimore is also tied for the second-fewest passing touchdowns allowed heading into Week 10, so the Under seems to be the play for both of those categories.
Jakobi Meyers total receptions: Over 3.5 (-150). The workload for Meyers over the last two weeks has been massive. Since being named the starter, he's averaging 12 targets per game and nine receptions. While Baltimore's secondary is stout, this number is still too low for someone who is Newton's current go-to receiver.
Jakobi Meyers total receiving yards: Over 49.5 (-115). Similar to what we noted above, Meyers is averaging 113.5 receiving yards over his previous two games. Even if you cut that production in half in Week 10, he still hits his Over.
Mark Andrews total receptions: Over 3.5 (+130). I expect Lamar Jackson to find more success through the air in Week 10 and Mark Andrews could be one of the benefactors of it. While he's only gone over this total twice in 2020, he is still seeing an average of 5.5 targets per game. If that number holds true here, I expect him to have plenty of open opportunities over the middle of the field.
Marquise Brown longest reception: Over 19.5 yards (-120). New England's secondary has allowed 27 passes of 20-plus yards this season, which is tied for the eight-most in the NFL. Brown is averaging nearly 14 yards per reception this season and has the ability to rip off a reception that goes the length of the field. Given the Patriots' spotty secondary of late, he should have a couple of opportunities for a chunk play.